ISSN 3060-5261 Open Access · Peer Reviewed
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Keywords

South Caucasus, Russia, Karabakh conflict, post-Soviet, Ukraine war, Turkey, Azerbaijan, geopolitics

How to Cite

GEOPOLITICAL SHIFTS IN POST-SOVIET SPACE: THE CASE OF THE SOUTH CAUCASUS. (2025). JOURNAL OF ANALYTICAL SYNERGY AND SCIENTIFIC HORIZON, 1(6), 83-92. https://www.universalpublishings.com/index.php/jassh/article/view/13538

Abstract

This article analyzes the changing geopolitical landscape in the South Caucasus following the decline of Russian influence in the post-Soviet space. The 2020 Second Karabakh War, Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022, and the recent developments in Nagorno-Karabakh have significantly altered Moscow's image as a regional guarantor. Azerbaijan's growing assertiveness, Turkey's active role, and Western engagement in the region reflect a multipolar shift. By reviewing recent developments and analyzing regional power dynamics, this article argues that the South Caucasus is undergoing a fundamental transformation away from the traditional Russian-centric order.

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References

1. Atlantic Council. 2023. Russia’s Waning Influence in the South Caucasus. https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs

2. Caspian Policy Center. 2022. Nagorno-Karabakh: Shifting Power Balances. https://www.caspianpolicy.org

3. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 2023. Armenia’s Strategic Shift from Moscow to Brussels. https://carnegieendowment.org

4. Chatham House. 2023. Russia’s Retreat from the South Caucasus: Causes and Consequences. https://www.chathamhouse.org

5. Eurasianet. 2022. Turkey’s Growing Influence in the Caucasus After the Karabakh War. https://eurasianet.org

6. PONARS Eurasia. 2022. Turkey’s Strategic Calculus in the Caucasus. https://www.ponarseurasia.org.

7. RAND Corporation. 2022. The Collapse of CSTO Credibility in the Post-Soviet Space. https://www.rand.org

8. Reuters. 2023. Karabakh Armenians Flee en Masse as Azerbaijan Reclaims Region. https://www.reuters.com/world

9. Washington Post. 2023. Russia’s Passive Stance in the Caucasus Raises Questions. https://www.washingtonpost.com

10. Ripsman, Norrin M., Jeffrey W. Taliaferro, and Steven E. Lobell. Neoclassical Realist Theory of International Politics. Oxford University Press, 2016.

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